How do we calculate fraud vulnerability?
Our approach to assessing how financially vulnerable the NHS is to fraud.
NHSCFA assesses how financially vulnerable each thematic area is to fraud, bribery, and corruption. To achieve this, the NHSCFA adopts a different approach depending on nuances within each area. However, broadly speaking the two main methods are:
Within the SIA, a consistent language has been used when assessing the probability and uncertainty with the ‘probability yardstick’ defining the language applied to the range. In using the probability spectrum, the NHSCFA has considered the source, age and reliability of the material used, and any extenuating factors to form the assessment. There is no weighting attached to specific factors, but rather a comprehensive approach taken when assigning the probability and uncertainty.
|Percentage range||Likelihood of occurence|
|0% - 5%||Remote chance|
|10% - 20%||Highly unlikely|
|25% - 35%||Unlikely|
|40% - 50%||Realistic possibility|
|55% - 75%||Likely / probable|
|80% - 90%||Highly likely|
|95% - 100%||Almost certain|
Was this page helpful?
Tell us what's happened so we can fix the problem. Please do not provide any personal, identifiable or sensitive information.